Pitch Radar

Udinese vs Roma: what the numbers say

Serie A · Round 10 · 1 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win7%Udinese
Draw10%
Away win83%Roma
Expected points, home0.30

What to expect

Roma are favourites: 83% to win against 7%. Attack against defence: Roma should create more, 2.67 expected goals a match against 1.27.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Udinese13545.0−1.01.422.12
Roma151312.4+0.63.221.11

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table →