The score and the xG side by side. Where they disagree, someone rode their luck or wasted chances — and that is exactly how the season-long gap builds up.
| Match | Score | xG | Who deserved it |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:0 | 2.79 : 1.39 | deserved | |
| 3:1 | 0.97 : 1.60 | got lucky | |
| 2:2 | 0.61 : 1.66 | dropped points | |
| 0:1 | 2.66 : 1.57 | got lucky | |
| 2:0 | 1.46 : 0.99 | even by chances | |
| 2:0 | 0.83 : 0.96 | even by chances | |
| 2:0 | 3.72 : 0.14 | deserved | |
| 1:1 | 2.25 : 2.77 | dropped points | |
| 0:1 | 1.21 : 0.86 | even by chances | |
| 0:1 | 1.47 : 2.28 | deserved |
Tottenham Hotspur — 3.72 xG. Opponent: Crystal Palace. Result: a win.
Manchester City: 2.66 xG against the opponent's 1.57. Result: a defeat.