The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Newcastle United | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 8 | 6 |
| xPTS | 4.3 | 8.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.7 | −2.9 |
| xG per match | 1.11 | 1.91 |
| xGA per match | 1.87 | 1.54 |
| Scored | 9 | 9 |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 |
By quality of play Manchester United is ahead: 8.9 xPTS against 4.3. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Newcastle United: +3.7, Manchester United: −2.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Newcastle United — 5.6, Manchester United — 8.2.