The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Auxerre | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 6 | 4 |
| xPTS | 6.6 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.6 | −1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.34 | 1.24 |
| xGA per match | 2.11 | 1.96 |
| Scored | 8 | 4 |
| Conceded | 16 | 13 |
By quality of play Auxerre is ahead: 6.6 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Auxerre: −0.6, Troyes: −1.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Auxerre — 5.2, Troyes — 4.7.