The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Marseille | Lorient | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 8 | 9 |
| Points | 12 | 12 |
| xPTS | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.2 | +0.1 |
| xG per match | 1.84 | 1.14 |
| xGA per match | 2.24 | 0.99 |
| Scored | 18 | 7 |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
By quality of play Lorient is ahead: 11.9 xPTS against 9.8. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Marseille: +2.2, Lorient: +0.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Marseille — 6.8, Lorient — 6.8.