The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rennes | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 2 | 3 |
| Points | 16 | 15 |
| xPTS | 13.2 | 10.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.8 | +4.4 |
| xG per match | 2.27 | 1.42 |
| xGA per match | 1.98 | 1.55 |
| Scored | 18 | 11 |
| Conceded | 14 | 6 |
By quality of play Rennes is ahead: 13.2 xPTS against 10.6. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Rennes: +2.8, Lille: +4.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rennes — 6.9, Lille — 6.6.