The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Paris Saint-Germain | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 11 | 9 |
| xPTS | 11.9 | 13 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.9 | −4.0 |
| xG per match | 2.61 | 2.01 |
| xGA per match | 1.51 | 1.45 |
| Scored | 11 | 12 |
| Conceded | 8 | 11 |
By quality of play Toulouse is ahead: 13.0 xPTS against 11.9. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Paris Saint-Germain: −0.9, Toulouse: −4.0.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Paris Saint-Germain — 10.9, Toulouse — 9.5.