The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Strasbourg | Troyes | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 16 | 17 |
| Points | 7 | 5 |
| xPTS | 6.4 | 7.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.6 | −2.3 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 1.16 |
| xGA per match | 1.91 | 1.77 |
| Scored | 12 | 5 |
| Conceded | 18 | 16 |
By quality of play they are level: 6.4 xPTS against 7.3. The gap between points and play — Strasbourg: +0.6, Troyes: −2.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Strasbourg — 4.5, Troyes — 5.5.