Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg: match prediction

Borussia Dortmund

VS

Augsburg

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

Borussia Dortmund are favourites: 63% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Borussia Dortmund should create more, 2.07 expected goals a match against 1.73. Read the table with care: Borussia Dortmund have taken 5.3 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Borussia Dortmund	2	9	21	15.7	+5.3	1.79	1.32
Augsburg	14	9	9	10.9	−1.9	2.15	2.35

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund — Elversberg 2:1Bayern Munich — Borussia Dortmund 2:2Borussia Dortmund — Eintracht Frankfurt 1:0Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund 0:0Borussia Dortmund — Werder Bremen 2:2

RasenBallsport Leipzig — Augsburg 5:2Augsburg — Freiburg 1:2Augsburg — Union Berlin 1:1Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3Augsburg — Bayern Munich 2:2

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions