The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Borussia Dortmund are favourites: 68% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Borussia Dortmund should create more, 2.04 expected goals a match against 1.05. Read the table with care: Borussia Dortmund have taken 3.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | 1.12 | 2.09 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14.1 | +3.0 | 1.99 | 0.98 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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