Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace: match prediction
Aston VillaVS
Crystal PalaceThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win52%Aston Villa
Draw19%
Away win29%Crystal Palace
Expected points, home1.76
What to expect
A slight edge to Aston Villa: 52% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.92 and 1.83 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Aston Villa have taken 2.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 10 | 10 | 13 | 10.4 | +2.5 | 1.47 | 2.17 |
| Crystal Palace | 20 | 10 | 7 | 9.5 | −2.5 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
Recent matches
Manchester United — Aston Villa 4:4Aston Villa — 
Fulham 1:1Aston Villa — 
Manchester City 2:1
Newcastle United — Aston Villa 0:1Aston Villa — 
Brentford 2:2Crystal Palace — 
Liverpool 1:3
Tottenham — Crystal Palace 2:0Crystal Palace — Newcastle United 0:2
Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0Crystal Palace — 
Nottingham Forest 3:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions