Brentford vs Manchester City: match prediction
BrentfordVS
Manchester CityThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win26%Brentford
Draw21%
Away win53%Manchester City
Expected points, home0.99
What to expect
A slight edge to Manchester City: 53% against 26%. Attack against defence: Manchester City should create more, 1.96 expected goals a match against 1.42.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brentford | 8 | 10 | 14 | 13.1 | +0.9 | 1.59 | 1.60 |
| Manchester City | 3 | 10 | 21 | 20.9 | +0.1 | 2.32 | 1.25 |
Recent matches
Brighton — Brentford 2:0Brentford — 
Nottingham Forest 2:0
Hull — Brentford 1:1Brentford — 
Liverpool 1:2
Aston Villa — Brentford 2:2Nottingham Forest — Manchester City 3:1Manchester City — Brighton 0:1Aston Villa — Manchester City 2:1Manchester City — 
Ipswich 3:2Liverpool — Manchester City 0:3Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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