The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Chelsea are favourites: 57% to win against 23%. Attack against defence: Chelsea should create more, 1.86 expected goals a match against 1.62. Read the table with care: Chelsea have taken 2.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 5 | 8 | 13 | 10.2 | +2.8 | 1.55 | 1.69 |
| Crystal Palace | 17 | 8 | 7 | 8.2 | −1.2 | 1.56 | 2.17 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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