The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Crystal Palace: 49% against 28%. Attack against defence: level, 1.62 and 1.68 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Hull City have taken 2.9 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 14 | 7 | 7 | 6.2 | +0.8 | 1.49 | 2.29 |
| Hull City | 9 | 7 | 9 | 6.2 | +2.9 | 1.06 | 1.75 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.