Crystal Palace
Hull CityThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Crystal Palace: 47% against 30%. Attack against defence: level, 1.58 and 1.70 expected goals a match. Crystal Palace are 2.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 10 | 7 | 9.5 | −2.5 | 1.50 | 2.37 | |
| 13 | 10 | 11 | 9.0 | +2.0 | 1.03 | 1.67 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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