Everton vs Fulham: match prediction
EvertonVS
FulhamThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win48%Everton
Draw23%
Away win29%Fulham
Expected points, home1.67
What to expect
A slight edge to Everton: 48% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.62 and 1.58 expected goals a match. Fulham are 3.9 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
Recent matches
Everton — 
Coventry 3:1
Newcastle United — Everton 0:1
Arsenal — Everton 2:0Everton — 
Chelsea 0:2
Hull — Everton 2:2Fulham — Newcastle United 1:1
Aston Villa — Fulham 1:1Coventry — Fulham 0:1Fulham — Hull 1:0
Ipswich — Fulham 2:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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