The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Nottingham Forest are favourites: 61% to win against 18%. Attack against defence: Nottingham Forest should create more, 1.86 expected goals a match against 1.15. Nottingham Forest are 9.2 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 10 | 8 | 10 | 7.7 | +2.3 | 1.17 | 1.75 |
| Nottingham Forest | 18 | 8 | 6 | 15.2 | −9.2 | 1.97 | 1.13 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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