Ipswich Town vs Newcastle United: match prediction
Ipswich TownVS
Newcastle UnitedThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win43%Ipswich Town
Draw23%
Away win34%Newcastle United
Expected points, home1.52
What to expect
A slight edge to Ipswich Town: 43% against 34%. Attack against defence: level, 1.58 and 1.70 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Newcastle United have taken 2.1 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 14 | 10 | 11 | 10.2 | +0.8 | 1.35 | 2.16 |
| Newcastle United | 12 | 10 | 12 | 9.9 | +2.1 | 1.24 | 1.80 |
Recent matches
Ipswich — 
Bournemouth 1:2
Hull — Ipswich 2:2Ipswich — 
Nottingham Forest 1:1
Manchester City — Ipswich 3:2Ipswich — 
Fulham 2:1Fulham — Newcastle United 1:1Newcastle United — 
Everton 0:1
Crystal Palace — Newcastle United 0:2Newcastle United — 
Aston Villa 0:1
Coventry — Newcastle United 4:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions