Manchester United vs Coventry City: match prediction
Manchester UnitedVS
Coventry CityThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win60%Manchester United
Draw21%
Away win20%Coventry City
Expected points, home2.00
What to expect
Manchester United are favourites: 60% to win against 20%. Attack against defence: Manchester United should create more, 1.73 expected goals a match against 1.47. Manchester United are 4.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United | 18 | 10 | 8 | 12.5 | −4.5 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
| Coventry City | 17 | 10 | 9 | 9.8 | −0.8 | 1.05 | 1.62 |
Recent matches
Manchester United — 
Aston Villa 4:4
Chelsea — Manchester United 2:0Manchester United — 
Bournemouth 0:3
Leeds — Manchester United 1:1Manchester United — 
Tottenham 1:1
Everton — Coventry 3:1Coventry — 
Sunderland 3:1Coventry — 
Fulham 0:1Tottenham — Coventry 3:1Coventry — 
Newcastle United 4:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions