Tottenham Hotspur vs Arsenal: match prediction
Tottenham HotspurVS
ArsenalThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win28%Tottenham Hotspur
Draw28%
Away win44%Arsenal
Expected points, home1.12
What to expect
A slight edge to Arsenal: 44% against 28%. Attack against defence: Arsenal should create more, 1.53 expected goals a match against 1.21. Read the table with care: Arsenal have taken 8.0 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham Hotspur | 11 | 10 | 12 | 14.3 | −2.3 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Arsenal | 1 | 10 | 27 | 19.0 | +8.0 | 1.69 | 0.97 |
Recent matches
Leeds — Tottenham 1:0Tottenham — 
Crystal Palace 2:0
Chelsea — Tottenham 0:2Tottenham — 
Coventry 3:1
Manchester United — Tottenham 1:1Arsenal — 
Hull 1:0
Liverpool — Arsenal 0:1Arsenal — 
Everton 2:0
Nottingham Forest — Arsenal 0:1Arsenal — Leeds 2:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions