Pitch Radar

Brest vs Paris FC: match prediction

Brest
VS
Paris FC
Ligue 1 · Round 12 · 27 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win39%Brest
Draw27%
Away win34%Paris FC
Expected points, home1.43

What to expect

No clear favourite: 39% home, 27% draw, 34% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.48 and 1.48 expected goals a match. Brest are 3.8 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Brest9101518.8−3.82.091.20
Paris FC3102019.8+0.21.760.87

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions