Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain: match prediction
LensVS
Paris Saint-GermainThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win32%Lens
Draw21%
Away win47%Paris Saint-Germain
Expected points, home1.18
What to expect
A slight edge to Paris Saint-Germain: 47% against 32%. Attack against defence: Paris Saint-Germain should create more, 1.98 expected goals a match against 1.60. Read the table with care: Paris Saint-Germain have taken 2.9 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lens | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14.9 | −1.9 | 1.88 | 1.60 |
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 10 | 23 | 20.1 | +2.9 | 2.36 | 1.32 |
Recent matches
Marseille 1:2
Lille — 
Paris FC 2:1Paris Saint Germain — 
Troyes 1:0
Le Havre — Paris Saint Germain 1:5Paris Saint Germain — 
Lyon 2:0
Strasbourg — Paris Saint Germain 1:3Paris Saint Germain — 
Le Mans 3:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions