The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Paris Saint-Germain are favourites: 66% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Paris Saint-Germain should create more, 1.88 expected goals a match against 1.27.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | 1 | 7 | 14 | 14.0 | −0.0 | 2.58 | 1.48 |
| Lorient | 10 | 6 | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7 | 1.05 | 1.18 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.