The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Rennes are favourites: 65% to win against 18%. Attack against defence: Rennes should create more, 2.00 expected goals a match against 1.66. Read the table with care: Rennes have taken 2.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes | 5 | 5 | 10 | 7.5 | +2.5 | 2.08 | 2.03 |
| Strasbourg | 8 | 5 | 7 | 4.6 | +2.4 | 1.29 | 1.92 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.