The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 38% home, 28% draw, 33% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.18 and 1.23 expected goals a match. Krylia Sovetov are 5.4 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 10 | 11 | 12 | 17.4 | −5.4 | 1.45 | 1.12 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 10 | 22 | 16.7 | +5.3 | 1.34 | 0.90 |
They have already met this season: Dynamo Moscow 0:0 Krylia Sovetov (2026-07-25).
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.