Krylia Sovetov vs Lokomotiv Moscow: match prediction
Krylia SovetovVS
Lokomotiv MoscowThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win67%Krylia Sovetov
Draw18%
Away win14%Lokomotiv Moscow
Expected points, home2.21
What to expect
Krylia Sovetov are favourites: 67% to win against 14%. Attack against defence: Krylia Sovetov should create more, 1.60 expected goals a match against 1.15. Krylia Sovetov are 4.0 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 7 | 14 | 18 | 22.0 | −4.0 | 1.35 | 1.08 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13.6 | −2.6 | 1.21 | 1.86 |
Head to head
They have already met this season: Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1 Krylya Sovetov Samara (2026-09-16).
Recent matches
Krylya Sovetov Samara — 
FC Orenburg 2:0Krylya Sovetov Samara — 
Zenit St. Petersburg 0:3
Rubin Kazan — Krylya Sovetov Samara 0:2Krylya Sovetov Samara — 
Fakel 1:2Krylya Sovetov Samara — 
Spartak Moscow 1:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Rubin Kazan 0:1Lokomotiv Moscow — Spartak Moscow 0:4
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow 2:0Lokomotiv Moscow — 
FC Krasnodar 3:3Fakel — Lokomotiv Moscow 0:5Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All RPL matches with xG → · Full RPL xPTS table → · RPL: next round predictions