The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Lokomotiv Moscow are favourites: 57% to win against 22%. Attack against defence: Lokomotiv Moscow should create more, 1.74 expected goals a match against 1.24.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina Moscow | 15 | 10 | 5 | 5.5 | −0.5 | 0.77 | 2.21 |
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10.5 | −0.5 | 1.27 | 1.71 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.