The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Spartak Moscow are favourites: 75% to win against 8%. Attack against defence: Spartak Moscow should create more, 1.52 expected goals a match against 0.83. Read the table with care: Rubin Kazan have taken 1.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 2 | 9 | 19 | 18.3 | +0.7 | 1.72 | 0.68 |
| Rubin Kazan | 6 | 9 | 12 | 10.3 | +1.7 | 0.99 | 1.31 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.