Pitch Radar

Inter vs Genoa: match prediction

Serie A · Round 13 · 29 Nov 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win83%Inter
Draw12%
Away win5%Genoa
Expected points, home2.60

What to expect

Inter are favourites: 83% to win against 5%. Attack against defence: Inter should create more, 2.23 expected goals a match against 1.10. Read the table with care: Inter have taken 3.8 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Inter192521.2+3.83.011.27
Genoa139108.7+1.30.931.45

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Serie A matches with xG → · Full Serie A xPTS table → · Serie A: next round predictions