The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Fulham | Manchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 11.1 | 10.3 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −3.1 | −3.3 |
| xG per match | 1.57 | 1.67 |
| xGA per match | 1.53 | 1.65 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 10 | 13 |
By quality of play they are level: 11.1 xPTS against 10.3. The gap between points and play — Fulham: −3.1, Manchester United: −3.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Fulham — 6.7, Manchester United — 7.5.