The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Ipswich Town | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 10 | 9 |
| xPTS | 7.1 | 14.9 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.9 | −5.9 |
| xG per match | 1.33 | 2.09 |
| xGA per match | 2.36 | 1.16 |
| Scored | 12 | 12 |
| Conceded | 16 | 13 |
By quality of play Bournemouth is ahead: 14.9 xPTS against 7.1. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Ipswich Town: +2.9, Bournemouth: −5.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Ipswich Town — 4.8, Bournemouth — 9.5.