The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Angers | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 12 | 13 |
| Points | 7 | 6 |
| xPTS | 7.5 | 6.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.5 | −0.7 |
| xG per match | 1.59 | 1.63 |
| xGA per match | 1.93 | 2.24 |
| Scored | 7 | 9 |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 |
By quality of play they are level: 7.5 xPTS against 6.7. The gap between points and play — Angers: −0.5, Marseille: −0.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Angers — 6.1, Marseille — 6.0.