The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Brest | Angers | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 9 | 8 |
| xPTS | 15.5 | 8.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −6.5 | −0.7 |
| xG per match | 2.22 | 1.46 |
| xGA per match | 1.22 | 1.97 |
| Scored | 14 | 9 |
| Conceded | 12 | 15 |
By quality of play Brest is ahead: 15.5 xPTS against 8.7. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Brest: −6.5, Angers: −0.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Brest — 8.9, Angers — 4.7.