The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Le Mans | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 15 | 16 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 7.6 | 6.4 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.6 | +0.6 |
| xG per match | 1.51 | 1.14 |
| xGA per match | 2.24 | 1.91 |
| Scored | 11 | 12 |
| Conceded | 16 | 18 |
By quality of play Le Mans is ahead: 7.6 xPTS against 6.4. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Le Mans: −0.6, Strasbourg: +0.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Le Mans — 5.1, Strasbourg — 4.5.