The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Marseille | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 6 | 6 |
| xPTS | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −0.7 | +0.4 |
| xG per match | 1.63 | 1.67 |
| xGA per match | 2.24 | 2.45 |
| Scored | 9 | 10 |
| Conceded | 8 | 12 |
By quality of play Marseille is ahead: 6.7 xPTS against 5.6. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Marseille: −0.7, Le Mans: +0.4.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Marseille — 6.0, Le Mans — 5.7.