The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Rennes | Paris FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 5 |
| Points | 13 | 11 |
| xPTS | 9.4 | 12.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +3.6 | −1.8 |
| xG per match | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| xGA per match | 1.89 | 0.63 |
| Scored | 10 | 8 |
| Conceded | 8 | 4 |
By quality of play Paris FC is ahead: 12.8 xPTS against 9.4. In the table the gap is 2 points. The gap between points and play — Rennes: +3.6, Paris FC: −1.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Rennes — 7.5, Paris FC — 11.0.