The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 40% home, 21% draw, 38% away. Attack against defence: Werder Bremen should create more, 2.01 expected goals a match against 1.79. Read the table with care: Werder Bremen have taken 2.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 8 | 8.0 | −0.0 | 1.85 | 2.34 |
| Werder Bremen | 6 | 7 | 12 | 9.3 | +2.7 | 1.68 | 1.74 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions