Elversberg vs Hamburger SV: match prediction

Elversberg

VS

Hamburger SV

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

A slight edge to Elversberg: 49% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.81 and 1.82 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Elversberg have taken 5.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Elversberg	7	9	13	7.3	+5.7	1.52	2.38
Hamburger SV	11	9	12	8.1	+3.9	1.26	2.10

Recent matches

Borussia Dortmund — Elversberg 2:1Elversberg — Mainz 05 4:1RasenBallsport Leipzig — Elversberg 4:0Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3Union Berlin — Elversberg 1:0

Hamburger SV — Borussia M.Gladbach 3:1Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV 3:1Paderborn — Hamburger SV 1:0Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart 1:0Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV 2:3

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions