Paderborn vs Elversberg: match prediction

Paderborn

VS

Elversberg

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

A slight edge to Paderborn: 48% against 29%. Attack against defence: level, 1.80 and 1.67 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Elversberg have taken 5.7 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Paderborn	13	9	10	9.4	+0.6	1.22	1.81
Elversberg	7	9	13	7.3	+5.7	1.52	2.38

Recent matches

Paderborn — Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2Borussia M.Gladbach — Paderborn 0:0Paderborn — Hamburger SV 1:0Werder Bremen — Paderborn 2:2Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart 0:2

Borussia Dortmund — Elversberg 2:1Elversberg — Mainz 05 4:1RasenBallsport Leipzig — Elversberg 4:0Elversberg — Augsburg 4:3Union Berlin — Elversberg 1:0

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions