The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to VfB Stuttgart: 53% against 30%. Attack against defence: level, 2.33 and 2.33 expected goals a match.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 13 | 6 | 6 | 7.3 | −1.3 | 2.22 | 2.63 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 11 | 6 | 8 | 7.3 | +0.7 | 2.02 | 2.44 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table →