Crystal Palace vs Manchester United: match prediction
Crystal PalaceVS
Manchester UnitedThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win33%Crystal Palace
Draw19%
Away win48%Manchester United
Expected points, home1.17
What to expect
A slight edge to Manchester United: 48% against 33%. Attack against defence: Manchester United should create more, 2.10 expected goals a match against 1.69. Manchester United are 4.5 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 20 | 10 | 7 | 9.5 | −2.5 | 1.50 | 2.37 |
| Manchester United | 18 | 10 | 8 | 12.5 | −4.5 | 1.83 | 1.89 |
Recent matches
Crystal Palace — 
Liverpool 1:3
Tottenham — Crystal Palace 2:0Crystal Palace — 
Newcastle United 0:2
Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0Crystal Palace — 
Nottingham Forest 3:1Manchester United — 
Aston Villa 4:4
Chelsea — Manchester United 2:0Manchester United — 
Bournemouth 0:3
Leeds — Manchester United 1:1Manchester United — Tottenham 1:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions