Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea: match prediction
Nottingham ForestVS
ChelseaThe match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Home win64%Nottingham Forest
Draw20%
Away win16%Chelsea
Expected points, home2.12
What to expect
Nottingham Forest are favourites: 64% to win against 16%. Attack against defence: Nottingham Forest should create more, 1.76 expected goals a match against 1.35. Nottingham Forest are 8.6 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
How they arrive
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest | 16 | 10 | 9 | 17.6 | −8.6 | 1.77 | 1.14 |
| Chelsea | 5 | 10 | 16 | 12.8 | +3.2 | 1.57 | 1.75 |
Recent matches
Nottingham Forest — 
Manchester City 3:1
Brentford — Nottingham Forest 2:0
Ipswich — Nottingham Forest 1:1Nottingham Forest — 
Arsenal 0:1
Crystal Palace — Nottingham Forest 3:1
Sunderland — Chelsea 1:0Chelsea — 
Manchester United 2:0Chelsea — 
Tottenham 0:2
Everton — Chelsea 0:2Chelsea — 
Bournemouth 5:1Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table → · EPL: next round predictions