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Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FC: match prediction

Paris Saint-Germain
VS
Paris FC
Ligue 1 · Round 14 · 12 Dec 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win41%Paris Saint-Germain
Draw26%
Away win34%Paris FC
Expected points, home1.47

What to expect

No clear favourite: 41% home, 26% draw, 34% away. Attack against defence: level, 1.61 and 1.54 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Paris Saint-Germain have taken 2.9 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Paris Saint-Germain1102320.1+2.92.361.32
Paris FC3102019.8+0.21.760.87

Recent matches

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Ligue 1 matches with xG → · Full Ligue 1 xPTS table → · Ligue 1: next round predictions