The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 34% home, 27% draw, 39% away. Attack against defence: Zenit should create more, 1.34 expected goals a match against 1.17. Read the table with care: Zenit have taken 2.9 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 9 | 11 | 12.6 | −1.6 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Zenit | 5 | 9 | 18 | 15.1 | +2.9 | 1.44 | 1.00 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.