The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Dynamo Moscow: 49% against 23%. Attack against defence: Dynamo Moscow should create more, 1.37 expected goals a match against 0.96. Read the table with care: Dynamo Moscow have taken 3.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubin Kazan | 6 | 9 | 12 | 10.3 | +1.7 | 0.99 | 1.31 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 9 | 19 | 15.5 | +3.5 | 1.43 | 0.94 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.