RPL fantasy: who to pick for Round 15
The list comes from two things: how much a player creates per 90 minutes (xG + xA) and how favourable his club's next match is. We know nothing about injuries or rotation — this is a hint, not a line-up.
Who to pick
Output per 90 minutes multiplied by the points his club is expected to take in the next match.
| Player | Club | Opponent | xG+xA per 90 | Club's chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirlind Daku |  Spartak Moscow | away to Dynamo Makhachkala | 0.75 | 58% | 0.49 |
| Alexander Sobolev |  Zenit | away to Rubin Kazan | 0.75 | 53% | 0.46 |
| Ivan Sergeev |  Dynamo Moscow | home to Krasnodar | 0.71 | 53% | 0.43 |
| Jordhy Thompson |  Orenburg | home to Baltika Kaliningrad | 0.97 | 33% | 0.42 |
| Tamerlan Musaev |  CSKA Moscow | home to Akhmat Grozny | 0.66 | 54% | 0.41 |
| Manfred Ugalde | Spartak Moscow | away to Dynamo Makhachkala | 0.62 | 58% | 0.41 |
| Maksim Glushenkov | Zenit | away to Rubin Kazan | 0.64 | 53% | 0.40 |
| Luciano Gondou | CSKA Moscow | home to Akhmat Grozny | 0.59 | 54% | 0.37 |
| Konstantin Tyukavin | Dynamo Moscow | home to Krasnodar | 0.59 | 53% | 0.36 |
| Ivan Oblyakov | CSKA Moscow | home to Akhmat Grozny | 0.54 | 54% | 0.34 |
| Danil Prutsev | Spartak Moscow | away to Dynamo Makhachkala | 0.50 | 58% | 0.33 |
| Vadim Rakov |  Lokomotiv Moscow | away to Rodina Moscow | 0.66 | 39% | 0.31 |
Running hot
Scoring more than their chances are worth. Finishing like that rarely holds: they cost a lot and the return can drop.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maksim Glushenkov | Zenit | 10 | 4.69 | +5.3 |
| Alexander Sobolev | Zenit | 8 | 5.59 | +2.4 |
| Ivan Oblyakov | CSKA Moscow | 7 | 4.65 | +2.4 |
| Gamid Agalarov |  Dynamo Makhachkala | 5 | 2.80 | +2.2 |
| Gilson Benchimol |  Akron Tolyatti | 4 | 2.15 | +1.9 |
| Christian |  Krasnodar | 3 | 1.20 | +1.8 |
Owed goals
The chances are there, the goals are not. If the chance quality holds, the goals will probably come back — and they are cheap now.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damián Puebla | Orenburg | 0 | 3.61 | −3.6 |
| Axel Gnapi |  Fakel Voronezh | 0 | 2.39 | −2.4 |
| Miro | Dynamo Makhachkala | 2 | 3.85 | −1.9 |
| Bitelo | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1.52 | −1.5 |
| Yuri Gorshkov |  Krylia Sovetov | 0 | 1.46 | −1.5 |
| Ivan Sergeev | Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 1.37 | −1.4 |
Understat data, refreshed twice a day. We do not give betting tips and we do not know about injuries or suspensions — check the line-ups.
Who to pick in RPL fantasy for Round 15?
Top of our list: Mirlind Daku (Spartak Moscow; opponent: Dynamo Makhachkala, away); Alexander Sobolev (Zenit; opponent: Rubin Kazan, away); Ivan Sergeev (Dynamo Moscow; opponent: Krasnodar, home). The list is built from a player's output per 90 minutes and the strength of his club's next match; we do not know about injuries and rotation, so check them before choosing.
How is the RPL fantasy ranking calculated?
For each player we take xG and xA per 90 minutes (how much he creates and scores by chance quality) and multiply by his club's expected points in the next match divided by three. Players with at least 270 minutes are included: 78 right now. It is an assessment of play, not a forecast and not betting.
Who in RPL scores more than his chances are worth?
Maksim Glushenkov (Zenit) is furthest above xG: 10 goals from 4.7 xG, 5.3 more. Finishing like that usually does not hold all season, so paying a lot for such a player is risky.
Who in RPL has fewer goals than his chances are worth?
Damián Puebla (Orenburg) is furthest below xG: 0 goals from 3.6 xG, 3.6 fewer. If the chance quality holds, goals usually move toward xG, but over a handful of matches that is no guarantee.