The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Bayern Munich are favourites: 94% to win against 1%. Attack against defence: Bayern Munich should create more, 2.79 expected goals a match against 1.03. Bayern Munich are 2.3 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich | 1 | 7 | 17 | 19.3 | −2.3 | 3.70 | 0.93 |
| Paderborn | 13 | 7 | 8 | 6.8 | +1.2 | 1.13 | 1.89 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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