The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
No clear favourite: 39% home, 18% draw, 43% away. Attack against defence: VfB Stuttgart should create more, 2.37 expected goals a match against 2.12. Read the table with care: Elversberg have taken 4.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elversberg | 8 | 7 | 10 | 5.5 | +4.5 | 1.61 | 2.55 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 15 | 7 | 6 | 8.2 | −2.1 | 2.19 | 2.63 |
Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.
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