Hamburger SV vs Schalke 04: match prediction

Hamburger SV

VS

Schalke 04

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

A slight edge to Hamburger SV: 49% against 27%. Attack against defence: level, 1.77 and 1.66 expected goals a match. Read the table with care: Hamburger SV have taken 3.9 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
Hamburger SV	11	9	12	8.1	+3.9	1.26	2.10
Schalke 04	17	9	6	7.6	−1.6	1.21	2.27

Recent matches

Hamburger SV — Borussia M.Gladbach 3:1Eintracht Frankfurt — Hamburger SV 3:1Paderborn — Hamburger SV 1:0Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart 1:0Hoffenheim — Hamburger SV 2:3

Hoffenheim — Schalke 04 2:1Schalke 04 — RasenBallsport Leipzig 0:2FC Cologne — Schalke 04 0:0Schalke 04 — Mainz 05 0:1Freiburg — Schalke 04 2:1

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions