VfB Stuttgart vs Union Berlin: match prediction

VfB Stuttgart

VS

Union Berlin

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

What to expect

VfB Stuttgart are favourites: 72% to win against 13%. Attack against defence: VfB Stuttgart should create more, 2.17 expected goals a match against 1.71.

How they arrive

Club	Place	P	Points	xPTS	Δ	xG/match	xGA/match
VfB Stuttgart	8	9	12	11.1	+0.9	2.12	2.42
Union Berlin	16	9	7	7.2	−0.2	1.01	2.21

Recent matches

VfB Stuttgart — Werder Bremen 1:0Bayer Leverkusen — VfB Stuttgart 2:4VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M.Gladbach 2:3Hamburger SV — VfB Stuttgart 1:0Paderborn — VfB Stuttgart 0:2

Freiburg — Union Berlin 2:0Union Berlin — FC Cologne 1:1Augsburg — Union Berlin 1:1Union Berlin — Borussia Dortmund 0:0Union Berlin — Elversberg 1:0

Chances come from both teams' strength by xG with a home advantage; line-ups and injuries are not part of the calculation.

All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table → · Bundesliga: next round predictions